Vudi Xhymshiti: Alexander Kasanoff - a test for Washington in the Balkan geopolitical maelstrom

The appointment of Alexander "Sasha" Kasanoff to the post of US Special Envoy for the Western Balkans marks an important moment in a region that is constantly on the brink of instability.

Kasanoff's career, decorated with honours and marked by complex diplomatic assignments, places him at the centre of the geopolitical maelstrom that is the Balkans. His previous achievements, especially during the Maidan revolution in Ukraine, stand in stark contrast to the controversial environment he now enters.

But what kind of diplomat is Kassanoff, and what does his arrival mean for the future of US foreign policy in the region?

Kasanoff's track record is undeniably impressive. He has navigated some of the most challenging diplomatic terrains, winning the James Clement Dunn Award for Excellence for his work in Kyiv during the Maidan Revolution and Russia's subsequent invasion of Ukraine. His work in Washington and abroad, including in Ireland, Turkmenistan, Chile and Ukraine, reflects a career marked by deep engagement with critical global issues. Fluent in several languages ​​and a graduate of prestigious institutions such as the National War College and the Johns Hopkins School for Advanced International Studies, Kasanoff enters his new role with a wealth of knowledge.

However, the context in which Kasanoff finds himself is full of complexity and suspicion. The current situation surrounding Kasanoff is characterized by a high degree of complexity and suspicion. It follows the departure of his predecessor, Gabriel Escobar, who was fired following an investigation by Frontline magazine. These revelations have raised serious questions about the impartiality of US diplomatic efforts in the Balkans, a region where ethnic tensions and historical aspirations simmer beneath the surface.

At the root of this dispute are the complicated and often unstable relations between Kosovo and Serbia. Kosovo's 2008 declaration of independence, recognized by the US and other Western countries, remains disputed as Russia-backed Serbia refuses to recognize its sovereignty. Escobar's alleged bias, as well as his financial ties to Serbian organizations, raised concerns about his diplomatic impartiality, which ultimately led to his dismissal.

While there have been reports that the State Department has (perhaps) denied these claims, Frontliner has received no evidence to support this claim, despite numerous attempts to contact the State Department. However, this scandal not only tarnished Escobar's reputation but also called into question the US diplomatic mission in the Balkans in a wider context.

In this delicate environment, Kasanoff's appointment raises several important questions. Given his distinguished career and commendable work in Ukraine, one can only hope that he will bring a renewed sense of integrity and impartiality to the role. However, there are concerns about whether he will be able to navigate the complex and often murky waters of Balkan politics without succumbing to the same pitfalls that plagued his predecessor.

Deeper geopolitical dynamics cannot be ignored. Since 2022, the foreign policy of the United States seems increasingly aligned with the interests of Serbia, supported by the Kremlin. This harmonization became particularly evident after Serbia signed a foreign policy coordination agreement with Moscow, further cementing its relationship with Russia. Despite Serbia's aggressive actions, including the attempted Russian-style annexation of northern Kosovo, the US has largely failed to hold Serbia accountable, preferring instead to "appease" President Aleksandar Vucic.

The US position is particularly troubling for Kosovo, a young democracy trying to free itself from the shadows of its turbulent past. Electing leaders like Albin Kurti and Vyosa Osmani, who are seen as incorruptible and committed to genuine reform, poses a serious challenge to US foreign policy manoeuvres in the region. In 2019, US diplomat Richard Grenell played a key role in ousting Kurti's government, a move many saw as an attempt to establish a more compliant administration. Similarly, Escobar's tenure was marked by threats to destabilize Kosovo's democratically elected government if it did not accede to Serbia's demands.

An obstacle is the push for the creation of an Association of Serbian Municipalities (ASO) within Kosovo, a step that many believe will consolidate Serbian influence and create an entity similar to the Republika Srpska. Despite Escobar's dismissal, his passive-aggressive language and threats indicated that he continued to push for ASO, supported by James O'Brien and other US officials. This relentless pressure raises legitimate concerns about the true intentions behind US diplomatic efforts in the region.

Against this background, Kasanoff's mission becomes even more critical. Is he coming to the Balkans to impose policies that undermine Kosovo's sovereignty and democratic progress? Or is he likely to adopt a different approach that actually supports the region's stability and democratic aspirations?

Given Kasanoff's commendable work during the Maidan revolution, one can hope that he will bring a fresh perspective and commitment to upholding democratic values.

The Hill report's revelations about correspondence involving the Podesta Group, known for its pro-Russian lobbying, however, raise questions about impartiality in the broader context of US diplomatic and intelligence operations.

Although Alexander Kasanoff, a US State Department official, contacted Konstantin Kilimnik as a valuable source of intelligence, the complexity of this relationship underscores the need to scrutinize all connections to ensure independence and objectivity, especially in sensitive regions such as the Balkans.

Additionally, Kasanoff's estimated net worth, which is believed to be between $349,000 and $810,000, according to the 2022 annual net worth report, adds another layer of intrigue. While not necessarily indicative of wrongdoing, the State Department's lack of transparency regarding its financial disclosures raises questions about potential conflicts of interest.

With Kasanoff stepping into his new role, the stakes are extremely high. The Balkans, with their specific political and ethnic characteristics, need a diplomat who can navigate these complex situations with integrity and impartiality. Fragile peace and stability in the region depend on a balanced and fair approach, free from the undue influence of outside powers.

The question remains: Will Kassanoff be the diplomat who restores credibility to US foreign policy in the Balkans, or will he entrench the same patterns of enabling and appeasing Kremlin-backed Serbia at the expense of Kosovo's sovereignty? His past record suggests a capacity for decisive and principled action, but the current geopolitical context requires vigilance and an unwavering commitment to ensuring publicity and accountability.

In a region where the slightest spark of misinformation can have disproportionate consequences, the need for clear, truthful and open communication is paramount. Kasanoff's actions in the coming months will be closely watched not only by the people of the Balkans but also by the international community as a whole. His ability to navigate this complex terrain with integrity and independence will determine whether the US can regain its role as a reliable and fair mediator in the region.

Ultimately, Kasanoff's appointment is a test of American diplomacy's commitment to its founding principles. The Balkans deserve a diplomat who will sincerely support their path to peace and stability, without being in the shadow of external manipulations and prejudices. Whether Kasanoff will rise to this challenge remains to be seen, but the stakes for the future of American foreign policy in the region are huge. I BGNES

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Commentary by British journalist Vudi Xhymshiti, creator of Frontliner magazine based in London.

Xhymshiti primarily covers armed conflicts around the world and their impact on human rights, and civil and political liberties for a range of Western media outlets.