Engaging Hezbollah in an all-out war would be tantamount to suicide for Lebanon.
The day after the war will not be optimistic for the Palestinians, and then a new refugee problem may emerge.
This was stated in an exclusive interview for BGNES by the famous journalist from the Israeli Army Radio and columnist of "Maariv" Jacky Hugi, who deals with the problems of the Palestinians and Gaza.
Army Radio, or Galei Tzahal, is a national Israeli radio network operated by the Israel Defense Forces.
When asked by BGNES what concrete military actions we should expect from Israel to destroy the terrorist organization Hamas in Gaza, Jackie Hugi answered: "What Israel should do, if we assume that its goal is to destroy Hamas, is to invade Gaza, and face Hamas fighters head-on. As they did in Beirut in 1982. This is no easy task as the terrorists have built a vast system of underground tunnels. In Israel Defense Forces circles it is common to say that there is "Gaza above ground" and "Gaza below ground". Hamas has about 20,000 fighters (of which about 2,500 have already been killed). So it won't be a walk in the park if the Israelis are planning an invasion."
We are also witnessing the growing tension along Israel's border with Lebanon. Jackie Hugi noted that the Shiite movement Hezbollah is already attacking Israel heavily along the northern border, keeping fire close to the border.
“You can see a gradual escalation on their part. Today, for the first time, they attacked civilians and not just military targets with rockets, increasing the attacks (so far 5 today alone). They have the ability to scale up if they want," the journalist stated.
He stressed that the price that Hezbollah will pay in case of an expansion of the conflict will be very expensive - the destruction of their homeland. Jackie Hugi recalled that the American military presence in the vicinity should not be forgotten. It is about 10 military squadrons that are stationed in Cyprus, Greece and the USS Gerald Ford to help Israel.
"Hezbollah" is able to hit Israeli territories very badly, but for them to bring Israel into an all-out war will be like suicide for the Lebanese state," warned the journalist and expert on the region.
Jackie Hugi does not rule out a problem with a migrant wave around the world, but it will most likely occur sooner after the end of the war. The Army Radio journalist recalled that in every war or military crisis in the past, people fled the Gaza Strip to save themselves or find a better life abroad. "Now they have the same need. The Israelis have established a tight siege by land, sea and air, and the Egyptians have closed the Rafah crossing so Palestinians cannot cross into the Sinai. The people of Gaza are locked inside like a prison. Having said that, I can hardly see any movement of refugees from Gaza any time soon, but to be honest, the day after the war will not be optimistic for them, and therefore a new refugee problem may emerge." predicts Jackie Hoogie.
The future of Gaza will depend on the outcome of the war.
"If the Israeli army lives up to the promises of its superiors and ends the Al Qassam Brigades, it will give the Palestinian Authority a chance to retake power, 17 years after it was ousted in a military coup by Hamas. If the Israeli army fails, then the reality will remain the same - but worse," Hugi said, adding:
"I find it hard to believe that Israel will retake Gaza permanently, nor do the Egyptians, who do not consider Gaza to be Egyptian land. So we are more or less left with one real possibility, which is the Palestinian Authority. For the latter, Gaza is still officially part of its territory. They call it "our southern provinces", Israeli Army Radio journalist Jackie Hugi told BGNES. /BGNES
